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Here's Why Presbia Is Worth $14/Share, Despite Plummeting Monday

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Here's Why Presbia Is Worth $14/Share, Despite Plummeting Monday

Rodman & Renshaw maintains a Buy rating on Presbia PLC (NASDAQ: LENS) after an interim data from the company showed that its corneal inlay product, the Flexivue Microlens, can achieve "significant improvement in uncorrected near vision acuity without loss of distance vision performance."

"An average of five lines of improvement in uncorrected near visual acuity was observed in treated eyes across 100 percent of the six-month U.S. study cohort," analyst Raghuram Selvaraju wrote in a note.

Selvaraju expects Presbia to complete this study in late 2017, with a formal approval of the product expected in late 2018.

Related Link: Rodman & Renshaw Initiates "Unsung" Presbia With Buy; Stock Jumps

Noting that the company could independently launch the Flexivue Microlens in the United States, the analyst expects that the product could generate peak sales of $445 million in the United States alone and $530 million worldwide by 2030.

As per the discounted cash flow-based net present value (NPV) method, the analyst estimates a total value of $275 million for the Flexivue Microlens product, using an 18 percent discount rate, 60 percent manufacturing and marketing offset and a 12.5 percent effective tax rate (Presbia is based in Ireland). This results into a price per share of $14.00, assuming $25 million in cash and 20 million shares outstanding as of end-2017.

At the time of writing, Presbia shares were down 12.47 percent at $4.28.

Latest Ratings for LENS

DateFirmActionFromTo
Oct 2016JefferiesUpgradesMarket PerformMarket Outperform
May 2016Rodman & RenshawInitiates Coverage OnBuy
Feb 2015JefferiesInitiates Coverage OnBuy

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