betting markets

Speculation over the Federal Reserve’s next interest-rate decisions is heating up, with retail traders betting millions ahead of the central bank’s first meeting of 2025. Wagers on interest rates have soared in popularity on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated betting platform, highlighting the...

With Donald Trump‘s swearing-in as the 47th president rapidly approaching, betting markets are in overdrive, pricing in a flurry of executive actions. Traders on the CFTC-regulated platform Kalshi see an 80% chance Trump will sign at least 15 executive orders on his first day, with the most...

Betting markets see December’s nonfarm payrolls coming in much higher than Wall Street economists expect, creating a stark divide between traders betting on strong labor data and forecasts predicting a slowdown in hiring. In a note shared Thursday, Goldman Sachs economist Ronnie Walker...

Editor’s Note: This article has been updated to eliminate duplicate content. Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi have surged in popularity during the 2024 election cycle. Here’s all you need to know about the betting markets on Election Day as the U.S. elects a new president,...