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Fed Rate Cut of 0.5% 'Wouldn't Be A Surprise' After Private Payrolls Fall Short, Economist Says
Thursday, September 5, 2024 - 11:16am | 563The August payroll report from ADP Thursday is tipping odds toward a 0.5% rate cut by the Federal Reserve two weeks from now, according to economists. The report said 99,000 jobs were added in August — down from 140,000 expected — and reflects the fifth straight month of slowing private payroll...
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GDP Data Shows Economy 'In Good Shape,' Job Market 'Key' For Rest Of 2024: Economists
Thursday, August 29, 2024 - 11:47am | 620Thursday’s revised gross domestic product figure was a clear indication the U.S. economy is faring pretty well, according to an economist. “The GDP revisions show the U.S. economy was in good shape in mid-2024,” Bill Adams, chief economist for Comerica Bank, said Thursday. “...
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Weaker-Than-Expected Job Market 'Could Pave Way' For Fed Rate Cut of 0.5%: Economist (CORRECTED)
Wednesday, August 21, 2024 - 2:04pm | 553Editor’s note: This story has been updated to correct a reference to January 2025 in comments from Comerica Bank’s chief economist. The Federal Reserve has every reason to cut interest rates at its next meeting in September since the U.S. revised its jobs report, according to...
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Retail Sales Numbers 'Were A Blowout Versus Consensus,' But Economists Predict Fed Will Still Cut Rates
Thursday, August 15, 2024 - 10:20am | 520Economists had high praise for July’s retail sales numbers on Thursday, but they believe that the Federal Reserve will still cut rates in September in the face of rising unemployment. “Today's retail sales numbers were a blowout versus consensus, but more importantly it should lay to...
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Dollar-Yen Volatility Sparks Debate Over Carry Trade Positioning: 'We Maintain A Structurally Bearish Yen View,' Analyst Says
Friday, August 9, 2024 - 3:40pm | 801The U.S. dollar-Japanese yen exchange rate endured one of its most turbulent weeks in recent years, with sharp swings driven by pivotal economic events that have left traders reassessing the future of the dollar-yen carry trade. The USD/JPY pair opened the week at 146.36, but quickly plunged to a...
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Federal Reserve 'Should Take The Foot Off The Brake' And Cut Rates, Economist Says
Wednesday, July 31, 2024 - 4:35pm | 549The Federal Reserve decided at its Wednesday meeting to keep the key interest rate between 5.25% and 5.5% while maintaining other policy interest rates and continuing to lower its bond holdings at a rate of $60 billion per month. Bill Adams, chief economist for Comerica Bank, said the committee...
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Fed's Favorite Inflation Gauge Keeps Falling But Fed Wants 'Durable Downward Trend,' Economist Says
Friday, July 26, 2024 - 11:12am | 711The Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index keeps falling. This reaffirms the possibility that the Federal Reserve will cut the key interest rate by September. The PCE, the Fed’s favored inflation indicator which tracks U.S. consumer spending, rose 2.5% on an annual basis in June,...
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Flat Retail Sales Report Shows 'A More Discerning Consumer' Keeps Spending, Economists Say
Tuesday, July 16, 2024 - 10:37am | 646June’s U.S. retail sales report indicates that increasingly careful consumers are still opening their wallets, despite a stagnant reading on Tuesday, economists say. U.S. retail sales remained flat in June, falling from an upwardly revised 0.3% growth in May to zero growth and matching the...
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Russell 2000 Index Notches Strongest Week Of Year, Hits 31-Month Highs: Outlook Is 'Clouded By Fed's Concerns Over Labor Market,' Analyst Warns
Friday, July 12, 2024 - 4:25pm | 770The Russell 2000 index of small caps, tracked by the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:IWM), recorded its best weekly performance since October 2023, surging over 6% and reaching its highest level since January 2022. The rally was largely driven by Thursday’s session, where the Russell 2000...
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Economists Endorse September Fed Rate Cut As Inflation Falls To March 2021 Level: 'The Policy Mistake Has Already Been Made'
Friday, June 28, 2024 - 11:46am | 763Economists have broadly welcomed the latest key piece of inflation data, with the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index — commonly referred to as the Fed’s favorite measure of inflation — dropping to a 2.6% year-on-year rate in May 2024, its lowest level since March 2021. This...
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'Magnificent 7' Expected To Do Heavy Lifting Yet Again For Q1 Earnings, But Will The Other '493' On S&P 500 Fire On All Cylinders? Analyst Weighs In
Tuesday, April 9, 2024 - 5:20am | 866Resilient corporate profit growth has been one of the major market drivers, and an analyst said on Monday the upcoming first-quarter reporting season could reflect the positive impact of an improving economic environment and continued strength in technology. Bar Neither High Nor Low: Unlike in the...
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Oil Prices Jump To Four-Month High, Surpass 200-Day Average: 'Momentum Indicators Remain Bullish,' Analyst Says
Monday, March 18, 2024 - 5:34pm | 640Oil prices kicked off the new week on a bullish trajectory, with spot contracts for light crude West Texas Intermediate (WTI) surging above $82 per barrel, marking a return to levels last observed in early November 2023. The surge in oil prices is propelled by tightened conditions in the global...
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Is China's Stock Market Poised For A Turnaround? Analyst Points To 3 Promising Signs Amid Policy Shifts
Friday, February 9, 2024 - 5:50am | 812Chinese stocks have staged a notable recovery in recent sessions, buoyed by speculations of potential government interventions to bolster the struggling market. On Thursday, an analyst suggested that a bullish upswing might be on the horizon, basing his assessment on technical indicators...
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US Stocks Set To Rebound On Nvidia Q3 Cheer: Analyst Says Trader Focus Now On This S&P 500 Resistance Level (UPDATED)
Wednesday, November 22, 2023 - 10:01am | 1427Editor’s note: This story has been updated to reflect the U.S. markets have normal trading hours Wednesday, and the market is closed Thursday for the Thanksgiving holiday. Sentiment appears to have reversed course after Tuesday’s pullback, with stock futures pointing to a modestly...
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US Stocks On Track To Finish Week On A High As Positive Earnings, Rate Pause Hopes Lend Support
Friday, November 17, 2023 - 8:14am | 1400The resilient market looks set to open the week’s last trading session on a modestly positive note. Stocks have been mostly higher this week following the release of a tame consumer price inflation report on Tuesday, although the upward move hasn’t been very convincing. On Friday,...