Nate Silver

Despite nationwide polls pointing to a slight edge for Kamala Harris in the presidential race, prominent polling data analyst Nate Silver said this week that it is still Donald Trump‘s election to lose. New-Less Cycle Favors Trump: Google Search interest in Trump has gone down by two to...

Editor’s note: The headline of this story has been updated to correct a spelling error. The results of the first few surveys that dropped in after the presidential debate between Democratic candidate Kamala Harris and her rival Donald Trump have decisively skewed the victory odds in favor of...

Vice President Kamala Harris seems to have emerged as the winner of the first presidential debate between her and Republican candidate Donald Trump, and veteran pollster Nate Silver offered his take on the proceedings on Wednesday. Pointers To Harris Win: The strong consensus is that Harris won the...

Election forecaster and historian Allan Lichtman has made his final prediction on whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris will win the 2024 presidential election. What Happened: Several months ago, Lichtman shared his preliminary findings based on a 13-key system he created, but said the forecast...

The recent Times/Siena College poll results released Sunday proved to be a good one for Republican candidate Donald Trump, said polling veteran Nate Silver. He also weighed in on the upcoming presidential debate scheduled for Sept. 10. Poll Results: The survey found that Trump was leading Vice...

Even as several nationwide polls gave Vice President Kamala Harris a narrow lead over her Republican rival Donald Trump, a veteran pollster sprang a surprise by dropping his latest forecast, called Silver Bulletin forecast. What Happened: The forecast issued on Sept. 1 showed Trump ahead of Harris...

As the week wraps up, we look back at a series of intriguing developments that unfolded in the political arena. From the intense face-off between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump to Elon Musk‘s deepening political engagement, the past few days have been nothing...

In the latest election forecast, pollster Nate Silver has indicated that former President Donald Trump is slightly ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris as they approach the Labor Day weekend. What Happened: Despite Harris leading Trump by 3.8 points in the updated Silver Bulletin’s...

Although Vice President Kamala Harris has built up a small lead over her rival and Republican candidate Donald Trump, the situation is still fluid. Against the backdrop, veteran pollster Nate Silver delved into the prospects of both candidates in two of the key swing states. Tar Heel State...

Robert Kennedy Jr. formally announced Friday his decision to suspend his campaign and back Donald Trump. He also said he would remove his name form the ballot in 10 battleground states. But famed polling data analyst Nate Silver says the election continues to trend toward Kamala Harris despite this...

As Vice President Kamala Harris swells in several nationwide polls, veteran pollster Nate Silver’s model for the first time gave her the lead over Republican candidate Donald Trump. The Matchups: In a span of a week, Harris’ fortunes improved from a 37% chance of winning the Electoral...

Renowned statistician and pollster Nate Silver has been appointed as an advisor to the cryptocurrency-based prediction market, Polymarket. The move comes as the platform aims to broaden its forecasting around news events. What Happened: Polymarket has enlisted Silver’s expertise to enhance...

Many experts and political pundits wrote off President Joe Biden's chances of winning reelection in 2024 following the president's poor debate performance against former President Donald Trump in June. Since the debate, polls have swung in Trump's favor and electoral odds continued to show Trump's...

Donald Trump, who has been nominated as the Republican candidate, announced Monday that Sen. J.D. Vance (R-Ohio) as his running mate, and not all were impressed with the former president’s choice. Obvious Error: Former White House Communications Director Anthony Scaramucci, who recently...

Donald Trump could come out on top with an absolute majority in the 2024 election, said polling expert Nate Silver in a post on Wednesday. What Happened: Over time, the reasons that Trump would win have gradually become somewhat more compelling than the reasons for Biden, said Silver in his Silver...