New York Fed

In a recent survey conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, U.S. consumers have displayed growing apprehension about a potential increase in unemployment. What Happened: The survey, carried out in March, showed Americans attributing a 44% chance to the country’s...

Credit delinquency is on the rise. High credit card rates and enduring inflation are hurting consumers, especially those considered “Gen Z.” Here’s the latest New York Fed data about the American consumer. The Data: The New York Fed's Center for Microeconomic Data released its...

U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warned on Thursday of the potential failure of non-bank lenders if household finances became stretched and the rate of delinquencies on loans rises. Speaking before a Senate Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs, the former Federal Reserve chair warned...

The likelihood of the U.S. entering a recession within the next year rose to more than 70% in May, the highest level seen since 1982, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The New York Fed's recession probability model is based on the U.S. Treasury yield curve slope,...

The likelihood of a recession in the United States within the next year has risen to almost 58%, the highest level since August 1982, according to the New York Federal Reserve.  The recession-risk indicator is now greater than it was in November 2007, just before the subprime-Lehman...

The commercial real estate market is grappling with substantial challenges that have the potential to reverberate across the broader economy. What Happened: This year, short sellers of specialized, office and residential REITs have enjoyed considerable gains — we'll show some of...

Americans expect inflation to be at 5% one year ahead. That's the lowest reading since July 2021, and down by 0.2% from November, according to a December New York Fed survey. Inflation expectations have been down month-over-month in six out of the seven last months since June when consumer...

Inflation expectations for the median American household remain low, despite a new consumer price index (CPI), issued by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, showing an 8.2% year-over-year increase. A sample of U.S. households expects inflation to drop next year and reach comfortable levels five years...

Consumer expectations for inflation are becoming more positive, according to a new survey released by the New York Fed. A broad-based sample of consumers shows they expect inflation rates to largely decrease for food and gas prices. The July edition of the New York Federal Reserve’s...

New York Fed president William Dudley encouraged support in the Federal Reserve's present monetary policy moving forward towards the Fed's chair transition on CNBC's Squawk Box Tuesday morning. "I think that the market should have reasonable confidence in the forward guidance, because the reality...