Recession

For most of the past five years, bonds have been in a brutal bear market. Since peaking on March 9, 2020, the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) — the world’s largest fixed-income ETF — has lost nearly 50%, battered by tight monetary policy, strong economic growth and persistent...

Stock and ETF investors, take note. Peter Schiff sees trouble ahead and he's not mincing words. The renowned investor warns that the government and financial media are “making the same mistake again” as they did before the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, Schiff wrote on X. The culprit...

U.S. stock futures fell on Monday after three consecutive days of decline on Friday. Futures of major benchmark indices were lower in premarket trading. Stocks decline as investors await the day of incoming reciprocal tariffs on April 2nd. This is termed “Liberation Day” by U.S....

Allianz Chief Economic Advisor Mohamed El-Erian highlighted a significant shift in Goldman Sachs‘ outlook for the U.S. economy, noting that the investment bank has given its economic projections a “stagflationary twist.” What Happened: El-Erian noted on X that Goldman Sachs...

Amid the ongoing tariff battle and the Federal Reserve’s projections of higher inflation and lower growth, PIMCO has predicted a 30-35% chance of a recession, without the possibility of stagflation in the U.S. economy in 2025. What Happened: Economist Tiffany Wilding, managing director at...

Mexico's economy is slipping into recession, and according to JPMorgan analyst Steven Palacio, it's no longer a question of if, but how deep. "We now think a recession is unavoidable" due to weak economic momentum, declining private consumption, and sluggish manufacturing, Palacio warned. The bank...

Financial markets are experiencing a rare simultaneous downturn of the S&P 500 tracked by SPDR S&P 500 (NYSE:SPY) and the U.S. Dollar Index, echoing patterns last seen during the 2008 financial crisis. Recent data reveals a parallel decline that has sparked investor attention and raised...

Wall Street soared Monday, kicking off the week in full risk-on mode as investors welcomed signs of easing trade tensions and stronger-than-expected economic data. President Donald Trump‘s softer tone on potential tariffs ahead of the looming April 2, 2025 deadline helped calm nerves. Adding...

Trade tensions, Fed policy shifts and weakening sentiment are creating a stormy outlook for the global economy. JPMorgan's Bruce Kasman just upped the ante on recession risks, pegging the odds of a 2025 U.S./global downturn at 40%. That's not just a number—it's a warning shot for investors...

Wall Street is buzzing with increasing speculation about a recession, as economists identify several indicators suggesting an impending economic downturn. What Happened: According to a report, Goldman Sachs has raised its likelihood of a recession in the next 12 months from 15% to 20...

U.S. stock futures declined on Friday after tumbling in trade on Thursday. Futures of all four benchmark indices were lower in premarket trading. While Jerome Powell‘s comments on tariff-induced “transitory” inflation buoyed the market on Wednesday, the concerns about the...

Amid the ongoing overhaul in the U.S. economy, billionaire Mark Cuban contrasted the difference between turning around a corporation and a country, questioning whose interests the people in charge serve, while calling the 330 million citizens the directors of the corporation. What Happened: Cuban...

After the Federal Reserve Board and Federal Open Market Committee released their economic projections following the FOMC meeting on Wednesday, David Rosenberg issued a strong warning about a potential recession. What Happened: According to the economic projections, the Federal Reserve’s...

The UCLA Anderson Forecast released its first-ever “recession watch,” citing potential economic risks stemming from Trump administration policies. What To Know: The forecast, titled “Trump Policies, If Fully Enacted, Promise a Recession,” highlights concerns over tariffs,...

Uncertainty has taken over the market. Business and consumer sentiment data are souring as markets tumble and tariff policy continues to lack rhyme or reason. The St Louis Fed's US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index has spiked to its highest level since December 2020. The University of Michigan...