Applied Materials Technicals May Be Set For A Slip
Applied Materials, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMAT) shareholders have been rewarded for its patience with over a 10 percent gain in the last month. That, however, just offset the price losses that occurred in the previous 30 days. Unlike Intel (NASDAQ: INTC), however, Applied Materials is trading near its highs. Can the company continue to trade higher?
What The Bulls See
Some cheap valuation metrics:
- The P/E ratio of 17, which compares favorably to the S&P's P/E ratio of over 22.
- The price-to-sales ratio of 3.31.
A clean balance sheet:
- Cash reserves of $3.09 billion versus total debt of $1.95 billion.
- Debt-to-equity ratio of 24.12 percent.
- A current ratio of 2.75.
Net profit margin of 12.63 percent that spins off positive levered free cash flow of $1.16 billion annually.
What The Bears See
Some pricey valuation metrics:
- The market capitalization of $30.6 billion trumps the estimated enterprise value of $29.7 billion.
- A price-to-book ratio of 3.79.
- The P/E ratio of 17 doesn't look cheap next to estimated revenue growth of only 7 percent.
The Technical Take
Technicians note that Applied Materials shares may have just completed an "abc" upside correction (wave "B" of a larger "ABC") early last week when it peaked out at $25.57.
That, according to some technicians, the next move lower will be the "C" wave of the larger "ABC" downside correction with the eventual target being down at $22.15.
If $25.57 is broken on a closing basis, the "ABC" formation will be nullified. If $22.15 is broken on a closing basis (on the downside), then something more serious will be forming on the downside, with the next targets being $20.84 and $20.04.
Overall
Applied Materials shares appear to be set to move lower, which would only be helped along by a continued consolidation and correction lower in the broader market.
From $25.05, a drop down to $22.15 could be a welcome move for those looking to acquire Applied Materials.

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