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EUR/USD: Short Biased In The Long Term
Monday, March 10, 2014 - 4:20pm | 230Positioning Open short at eur/usd at current price targeting long-run technical level 1.3521 (50.00 percent of Fib. retracements 2009-2010 and 2011-2012 two highest and lowest levels repsectively). The currency is trading in the highest price since Nov. 2011. Technically, under the stochastic...
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Risk Rebound Dampens Dollar Ahead of Obama Delivery
Wednesday, September 7, 2011 - 12:06pm | 769After a plunge in risk appetite on Tuesday when many investors baulked at stocks, favoring the safety of the dollar and even treasury notes at record lows. A fresh look midweek at affairs has investor optimism on the rebound with the dollar under a little pressure as all eyes turn to speeches...
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Asian Bonds Are The New Safe Havens
Thursday, June 30, 2011 - 8:21pm | 284According to analysts at Aberdeen Asset Management, investors need to be looking at Asian bonds and currencies going forward. Researchers at the asset manager pointed to the fact that as the global equity markets have fallen, both bonds issued by Asian countries and their underlying currencies have...
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Transatlantic Concerns Neutralize EURUSD
Thursday, January 14, 2010 - 7:35pm | 125As the day has advanced, the Yen has given back some of its earlier gains with the USDYEN now posting 92.20 after falling as low as 91.86 whilst the EURYEN has bounced back 55 pips to its present 132.25. Whether these developments are just retracements or full blown reversals still remains to be...
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Greece, Dubai - Are the Dominos Lining Up?
Tuesday, December 8, 2009 - 5:59pm | 117The EURUSD continued its fall by dropping over 100 pips today to its current value of 1.4705. The Euro is suffering after a credit downgrade for Greece has severely reduced the possibilities that the Euro-zone will raise its interest rates in the near future. Greece is not the only country in...
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UK Struggles with Debt Affordability
Tuesday, December 8, 2009 - 9:38am | 172Bernanke’s comment, stating that the US economy still faces formidable headwinds, has strongly influenced the markets overnight causing an increase in risk aversion. As a result, safe haven currencies, such as the USD and Yen, have benefited, during the early morning with EURUSD falling to 1.4750(...
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Greece Credit Worries Could Plague Euro
Monday, December 7, 2009 - 7:46pm | 145After diverging on Friday following the NFP release, the USD and YEN are back in correlation with both making advances against other major currencies against a background of easing equities. These effects were mostly due to Ben Bernanke making statements today indicating that the Central Bank was...
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Will NFPs provide Forex Direction?
Thursday, December 3, 2009 - 5:01pm | 175After the European Central Council appropriately left its interest rate unchanged at 1%, the markets reaction has been indecisive resulting in the EURUSD oscillating between 1.5065 and 1.5095 over the last few hours. Attention should now begin to center on tomorrow’s major risk events when the US...
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Euro Weakens After Interest Rate Decision
Thursday, December 3, 2009 - 10:16am | 207Overnight, the correlated stock market and higher yielding currencies, such as the Euro and GBP, rose as a result of a weaker Yen and yesterday’s positive Feb Beige Book. Just recently, the US Initial Jobless Claims have posted a drop to 457K from a revised 462K whilst Continuing Claims rose to...
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Fed Beige Book Fuels Moderate USD Rally
Wednesday, December 2, 2009 - 6:43pm | 168The release of the Fed Beige Book this afternoon showed a slight US economic improvement during November as a result of increasing consumer spending and auto sales. However, businesses are still under pressure due to deteriorating conditions within the commercial retail estate sector. The USD...
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Today's Risk Events Could Increase USD's Woes
Tuesday, December 1, 2009 - 10:22am | 240Overnight, improving market confidence fuelled an increase in risk appetite causing the EURUSD to surge higher by over 100 pips to 1.5090 presently (see diagram). A possible retest of the 2009 high at 1.5145 is now a possibility today. Earlier this morning, the Euro-zone posted an increase 0f 0.1%...
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Muted Forex Response to Dramatic Fundamental Events
Monday, November 30, 2009 - 7:57pm | 130Despite all the recent drama, the Forex market has been relatively quiet today with many of the major currencies just trading a tight range. Default fears about the Dubai World debt seem to have almost totally receded. There are major Forex event risks tomorrow with declines expected for both the...
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Jingling Nerves Could Produce Substantial Volatility
Monday, November 30, 2009 - 10:04am | 195Since yesterday's re-opening, the majors rallied sharply against the USD following the UAE central bank’s urgent action to both restore faith and reduce fears following last week’s Dubai debt shock. For instance, the EURUSD surged by over 100 pips to 1.5080 overnight(see diagram) whilst the GBPUSD...
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Assessing Risk First
Friday, November 6, 2009 - 7:13am | 207An important Forex concept is the risk:reward ratio and many experts advise that you should aim for a value of 1:2. The second one is your percentage of winning trades. Obviously a value of 50% and greater is preferable. You should note that you can achieve successful trading over the long haul if...
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Trading Fundamaental Events
Thursday, November 5, 2009 - 7:21am | 220Fundamental Data Releases, of high importance, are often regarded as the supernova events of Forex Trading. Examples include US Non Farm Payroll, US Trade Balance, the US Unemployment Claims and the National Interest Rate Changes etc. If you could correctly predict and then capture the resultant...