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Bank Of America Sticks To December Rate Cut Prediction, Braces For Election-Fueled S&P 500 Turbulence
Wednesday, July 17, 2024 - 11:45am | 490Bank of America U.S. economist Michael Gapen maintains his forecast that the Federal Reserve will make its first rate cut in December, diverging from the wide majority of analysts and investors who are heavily betting on a September move. During an event call on Wednesday organized by the...
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If June Inflation Report Is 'Another Confidence Builder,' Fed Rate Cut Will Come Next: Bank Of America
Monday, July 8, 2024 - 1:17pm | 677One of the most hawkish investment firms on Wall Street might soon revise its estimates and anticipate an earlier rate cut from the Federal Reserve if June’s new inflation figures confirm another unmistakable signal of a return towards the 2% target. Despite recent benign inflation reports,...
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Bank Of America Predicts First Rate Cut In December: 'Higher-For-Longer Flavor'
Friday, June 21, 2024 - 10:25am | 687Bank of America’s latest economic outlook for the U.S. paints a complex picture of steady but gradually fading economic growth, persistent inflation and a delayed start to the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts. The bank’s economist, Michael Gapen, emphasizes a “higher-for-longer...
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Are More Americans Looking For A Job? Here's What The Next Employment Report Might Show
Wednesday, June 5, 2024 - 12:50pm | 685Are more people looking for a job or is the U.S. labor market continuing to show continued tightness? Investors eagerly awaiting an update on the U.S. labor market will get more insight on Friday when the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the employment situation report for May. Recent labor...
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April Jobs Report Preview: Bank Of America Anticipates Solid Payrolls Growth, Rising Wage Pressures
Wednesday, May 1, 2024 - 12:02pm | 572Bank of America U.S. economist Michael Gapen recently provided insights into the expected performance of the U.S. employment sector for April, forecasting nonfarm payrolls will see an increase of 250,000, marking a slight deceleration from the 276,000 average gain over the previous three months....
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Federal Reserve Meeting Preview: High Interest Rates 'Need More Time To Work,' Bank of America Says
Monday, April 29, 2024 - 10:17am | 813Recent inflation surprises have left the Federal Reserve without sufficient confidence to consider interest rate reductions, prompting a scenario of higher-for-longer interest rates. That’s the insight coming from Bank of America’s U.S. economist Michael Gapen ahead of this week’s...
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Bank Of America Withdraws Recession Forecast Amid Strong Job Market, Expresses Concerns Over New Capital Rules
Thursday, August 3, 2023 - 3:49pm | 459Bank Of America Corp (NYSE:BAC) has retracted its earlier forecast of an impending recession, citing a robust job market and vigorous consumer spending as the primary reasons. The bank’s CEO Brian Moynihan confirmed this in an interview with Bloomberg on Thursday. Moynihan expressed optimism...
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Hawks Are Circling Wall Street: Two Top Analysts Call For The Fed To Resume Hikes In July
Thursday, June 15, 2023 - 12:26pm | 751Two major investment banks on Wall Street stated that they anticipate the Federal Reserve will resume hiking interest rates as soon as July, departing from initial market reactions to the Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference. Following the Fed’s decision to pause at its June...
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A Fed Rate Hike Is All But Certain This Week: 2 Phrases In The FOMC Statement May Be What Moves The Market
Monday, May 1, 2023 - 12:05pm | 710The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is widely expected to issue at least one more 0.25% interest rate hike at the conclusion of its meeting on Wednesday. The rate hike itself will likely not move financial markets much, but the language the FOMC uses in its policy statement could be a major...
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How Have Bank Failures Impacted The Outlook For Interest Rates?
Monday, March 13, 2023 - 1:27pm | 662In February, the U.S. Federal Reserve raised its target Fed funds rate by 0.25% to a new target range of between 4.5% and 4.75% as it attempts to get inflation under control. Expectations for the Fed's March meeting decision have swung wildly in the past week amid concerns the failures of U.S....
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Is The Fed Making A 'Policy Mistake' That Will Guarantee A 2023 Recession?
Friday, December 16, 2022 - 4:03pm | 583The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE: SPY) traded lower by 1.4% on Friday as the market headed for its second straight weekly decline. Unfortunately, Bank of America analyst Michael Hartnett said Friday that the latest commentary and economic projections from the Federal Reserve suggested a soft...
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Did The Drop In CPI Inflation Impact The Outlook For Interest Rates?
Friday, November 11, 2022 - 3:14pm | 544The U.S. Federal Reserve recently raised its target Fed funds rate by 0.75% for the fourth time in five months as it attempts to get inflation under control. Investors wondering if the Fed will pull the trigger on a fifth 0.75% hike at its next meeting in December got some key inflation data on...
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Why The Fed Needs To 'Break The Labor Market' To Avoid A 'Wage-Price Spiral'
Monday, October 17, 2022 - 11:11am | 483Another hot consumer price index (CPI) reading for September means the Federal Reserve will continue to aggressively tighten monetary policy for the time being. Following the latest inflation data, Bank of America economist Michael Gapen said the chances of at least two more 0.75% Fed interest rate...
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Analyst Hikes CPI Inflation Forecast, Expects Fed To Raise Interest Rates Another 1.75% By February
Friday, September 16, 2022 - 10:24am | 445The Consumer Price Index (CPI) was up 8.3% in August and remains at multi-decade highs despite the best efforts of the Federal Reserve to get inflation under control. On Friday, Bank of America economist Michael Gapen raised his near-term outlook for CPI inflation and said it may take a little bit...
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Why A 1% July Interest Rate Hike May Be Off The Table
Wednesday, July 20, 2022 - 1:08pm | 483The U.S. Federal Reserve raised its target Fed funds rate by 0.75% in June, its first interest rate hike of that size since 1994. With this month's Federal Open Market Committee meeting just around the corner, investors are still debating whether the Fed will opt for another 0.75% rate hike or...