prediction markets

Brian Armstrong, CEO of the U.S.’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, Coinbase, acknowledged the significant role of new media in shaping election outcomes, crediting the company’s former tech head Balaji Srinivasan for his early foresight. What Happened: On Sunday, Armstrong took to X to...

The head-to-head matchup between Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is expected to be close according to election polls, but prediction markets and betting odds are favoring a higher likelihood of a landslide win in the 2024 presidential election. What Happened: With less than two weeks...

In a landmark development, prediction market Kalshi resumed taking bets on the outcome of the congressional elections after an appeals court lifted a ban on the platform’s operations by the CFTC. What Happened: The U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia denied the motion by the...

Crypto bettors on Polymarket, a cryptocurrency-based prediction market, say former President Joe Biden's chances of dropping out of the 2024 presidential race have surged by 50%. What Happened: Biden's chances to officially announce his withdrawal or confirm to have...

Crypto bettors on Polymarket, a cryptocurrency-based prediction market, think Donald Trump and President Joe Biden will come up in Tucker Carlson's yet-to-air interview with Russia's president Vladimir Putin. But they see three other topics as even more likely...

Crypto bettors on Polymarket, a cryptocurrency-based prediction market, think the chances of North Korea detonating a nuke are small but not insignificant: a market for North Korea to detonate "a nuclear device in any capacity by March 31, 2024" is trading around 5%. What...

Crypto bettors on Polymarket, a cryptocurrency-based prediction market, think former First Lady Michelle Obama's chances to enter the 2024 presidential race — and potentially win the presidency — are rising. What Happened: Obama's chances to be the next U.S. President have...

Polymarket, a crypto-based prediction market, gives Donald Trump a 98% chance to win the Republican Iowa Caucus on Jan. 15. What Happened: Prediction market traders on Polymarket think Trump's win in the Republican Iowa Caucus is a shoo-in. Shares on this outcome pay a mere 2.14...

The odds for a spot Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval by Jan. 15 stand at 88%, according to crypto prediction market Polymarket. What Happened: According to Polymarket data, the much-awaited ETF is 88% likely to be approved by Jan. 15, with a 77% ...