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Debt-Limit Standoff: 3 Favorite Hedges For Bond Investors Seeking Shelter From Crisis
Friday, May 12, 2023 - 12:56pm | 398The latest FX & Rates Survey from Bank of America reveals that bond investors are hunting for long-dated Treasuries, put options on the stock market, and long positions in the Japanese Yen (JPY) versus high-beta currencies to shield themselves from the dangers connected with the U.S. debt limit...
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'Room For Disappointment': Stock Market Update For The Week Ahead
Monday, September 14, 2020 - 7:10am | 2287The Past Week, In A Nutshell What Happened: Last week ended negative on relative weakness in the technology sector. Remember This: “While valuations have hinted to overstretched markets in the past, it’s tough to say where stocks should be trading right now. We just witnessed the...
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Debating Over Something Besides Interest Rates, Attention Likely To Shift To Election
Monday, September 26, 2016 - 12:02pm | 1476The Fed meeting is over and earnings are still well ahead, meaning the spotlight this coming week may shine on politics as the U.S. election draws nearer. Monday night’s scheduled Presidential debate between Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton and Republican nominee Donald Trump could draw...
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Options Outlook For The Week Of May 26: Will Friday's Momentum Carry Over?
Tuesday, May 27, 2014 - 11:13am | 643Recap The week ended on a bullish note. All markets were in the green. Impressively the markets rose in the face of a falling TNX and rising TLT. For the past few weeks, this situation in the TNX and TLT would have caused a market sell off. Absent any negative headline from the Ukraine...
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$TLT Options Trade Idea
Friday, November 18, 2011 - 4:24pm | 363Risk Plot Profile Profit Ranges $TLT Options Trade Idea: There's an interesting trade in TLT at these levels. With TLT near highs in the 124-125 area, a bearish stance seems reasonable from a reward to risk perspective. After all, there cannot be many more buyer of bonds at these levels. The...
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TLT: Another Great Set-up
Tuesday, October 25, 2011 - 12:46pm | 167The last time I identified a “great set up” it was in the Market Vectors Gold Miners (symbol: GDX). This was only a couple of days ago, and since that time, the GDX is up nearly 10%. Another great set up is brewing as well, and this time it is in the i-Shares Lehman 20 [...]
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Market Timing Call: Up
Thursday, September 15, 2011 - 11:33pm | 120Market timing update is in video below. It's always an unfortunate thing when you get whipsaws in the markets, but they are a part of trading and we can hope for a more stable trend this time around. Bond Update: TLT should correct to the suggested level and at that point it will be critical to...
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SPY / TLT Spread Widens
Tuesday, September 6, 2011 - 1:12pm | 122This is an emerging pattern that bears some scrutiny. It would be easy to dismiss the “A” chart divergence as a product of August volatility but it appears there's something more fundamental going on when the rally of the past 3 weeks is doesn't cause the spread to constrict…in fact, it's...
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Is This a "BS" Shaped Recovery? (SPY, IEI, TLT)
Friday, September 11, 2009 - 9:22am | 458Many economists are debating if this recovery will be a "U", "V", "L", or even a "square root" shaped recovery. These of course are all describing how a chart would look if looking at GDP Growth, stock performance, etc. through time. I feel like introducing one more shape into the mix, a "BS"...